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16nm...when? Options
Neo
Posted: Monday, February 02, 2009 10:01:37 PM
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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/16_nanometer

2013? 2018? I find it interesting that opinions should vary so much on this topic, especially since the timeframe is quite near.

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jim
Posted: Tuesday, February 03, 2009 11:16:41 PM

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well, if it continues to follow Moore's law, 2013 would be a better prediction. my only question is: who designated 16 nm as the "Transition to Nanoelectronics?" seems to be fairly arbitrary.
Neo
Posted: Thursday, February 05, 2009 8:28:18 PM
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jim wrote:
well, if it continues to follow Moore's law, 2013 would be a better prediction. my only question is: who designated 16 nm as the "Transition to Nanoelectronics?" seems to be fairly arbitrary.


Well, it led from my post in the '2009 forecasts' tread, envisioning widespread 32nm technology. 16nm is half this, and also one of the semicomductor industry roadmaps 'nodes, followed by 11nm, and so on. I don't think that 16nm is the 'holy grail' of nano, I'd say that you'd have to go much smallerDrool than this, even. One nanometre is about 3-5 atoms across*, so to have true control of matter at the atomic level you would have to go smaller than a nanometre. However I would surmise that the smaller we go the more profound the effects will probably be, and smaller than 5nm would signal control of matter to a very significent degree.

*http://www.csa2.com/discoveryguides/nano/overview.php

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